The National Bank of Romania published on 8th of November the Inflation Report, the report indicated that after having reached a 5-year high in 2018 Q2, the annual inflation rate saw, as expected, a halt in its upward trend, falling to 5 percent in September, i.e. 0.15 percentage points above the benchmark forecast in the August 2018 Inflation Report and 1.5 percentage points above the upper bound of the ±1 percentage point variation band of the 2.5 percent flat target.
Exchange rate and capital flows
The EUR/RON exchange rate witnessed stronger fluctuations in the first half of 2017 Q1, before embarking on an almost constant uptrend. Its behavior, only partly correlated with that of the exchange rates of the main currencies in the region, reflected this time primarily the changes in investor sentiment vis-à-vis the local economy and financial market, brought about by domestic events/developments, and, to a smaller extent, the external influences.